What’s in a Number? Making NATO’s 1.5% Spending Goal Work for European Resilience

NATO allies are expected to adopt a new defence spending target of 5% of GDP at the upcoming The Hague Summit. While this marks a significant increase from the previous 2% goal, the real innovation lies in its structure: 1.5% is earmarked for areas beyond traditional military defence. Unlike the clearly defined 3.5% military component,…

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China’s military rise: Comparative military spending in China and the US

The US views China’s military rise as a strategic challenge, prompting ‘decoupling’, new defence alliances, and calls for greater defence spending (RAND 2024, Freund et al. 2023, Bosone et al. 2024). However, claims over the size of China’s real military spending relative to the US are contested and range widely from around one quarter of…

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